PLEX Trade
Posted: 2012-06-22 Filed under: market | Tags: alt, jita, PLEX Leave a commentA recent forum post on the official forms included some rabble rabble about how people should not move PLEXes out of stations. Yes, you shouldn’t have to move them around because anyone can have an alt in a trade hub to easily inject them into your account. However, people are lazy. You can make a small profit off of this because it is bothersome to some to login on an alt, check prices, or shop around.
Here are some trading numbers for my ventures with PLEX. Almost all of the 44 traded ones were moved to other stations.
June Junk Drawer
Posted: 2012-06-20 Filed under: eveonline, nullsec, screenshot | Tags: anaconda, bpc, bpo, carrier, chribba, csm, csm7, lowsec, mine, sov, titan 7 Comments1. Interested in the current tone of CSM-CCP relationship, the future of industry, and hints into the Winter expansion? Listen to VandV Podcast: Special Edition: Spring Summit Wrap Up podcast which contains an hour of content with current chairman @Seleene_Eve.
2. Chribba posted a screenshot of his Titan mining operations in lowsec.
3. I gasped at the sov map for a minute before discovering that there was a zero in the name.
4. Endless Space, a 4X turn based space strategy game, has been recieving a lot of my attention over the past month. The Beta is available right now on Steam and patches have been coming out every week or so with balances, new UI elements, and bug fixes.
I’m really interested in this game because the same game format is XML that is compressed in a .bin file. You can uncompress it with 7-Zip and then edit it in Notepad++ to change planet or hero attributes, technologies, global events, or even star system locations. The mentality of the development team is one of openness with the community and they are very active on the forums while polishing up the Beta.
5. I’ve contacted some Tech2 manufactures and have started to buy in bulk. You can generally get 5-10% Jita price, which does nothing but increase your margins.
6. Since I haven’t been actively playing much this month, I put some idle BPOs into copy research for some very passive income. There are idle or low wait empire copy slots, you just have to look for them. Hint: go to lowsec. I just know one of these days I will encounter a smartbomb.
7. To help solidify my claim as a bittervet, I picked up some Anaconda Mines.
8. I have an itch for a large scale public investment project, but lack any type of formal finance training. I wish Eve had a stock market so people could invest in my trading and manufacturing operation. I don’t have any idea of where to start, what the payout would be, or how to manage risk when you start to work with other people’s money; I would not want to be Eve Bank 2.0.
Inferno 1.1
Posted: 2012-06-11 Filed under: eveonline, ships | Tags: inferno, Minmatar, v3 Leave a commentUnofficial change list is up here on the forums.
Patch Size: 718 MB
JonnyPew, one of my favorite Eve video makers, has some great videos of the Minmatar V3 update on youtube.
New Item Profitability over Time
Posted: 2012-06-07 Filed under: market | Tags: basic, cybernetic, implant, ishtar, noctis 3 CommentsHypothesis: New items become less profitable over time.
Source Data: I picked the Noctis because I have data for 188 sales ranging from Dec/2010 to June/2012. I wanted to look at the Tier3 Battlecruisers, but I lack enough trades on these to be statistically meaningful.
The slope of the trendline suggests that the profitability is every so slightly going down. I assumed that the decline would be much greater than shown by the trendline.
Since a recently added item didn’t show a downward trend, I extend the research sampling. I picked a common item, a common ship, and a high volume item.
1. Here is the graph for 1,534 Damage Control II’s. It shows more downward profitability than the Noctis.
2. The Ishtar is a very popular ship for ratting and mission running. 112 Ishtar trades show a greater profitability decline than the Noctis.
3. The trend of 572 Cybernetic Basic implants shows a slight decline.
Conclusion: I could not prove my hypothesis with data from Noctis sales and I’m showing greater profit decline on more common items. I’ll revisit this when I have more data for the Tier3 Battlecruisers and the modules introduced in Inferno.
Industry and Trading Matrix
Posted: 2012-06-06 Filed under: industry, market, nullsec | Tags: c-level, excel, stats 9 CommentsNumbers > Words
If you can’t tell, I’m a very quantifiable person. Using numbers to guide decisions is a method of problem solving that I have cultivated as my professional career has grown.
I remember this one particular insiadent that really stood out where the numbers really proved valuable.
A few years ago when a group of difficult C-level people were up for a laptop refresh, I sent them a simple survey with a list of considerations for their new machines. Each person had rate weight, speed, storage capacity, ruggedness, maximum resolution, monitor size, etc on a scale of 1-3 (3 being the highest priority).
I then took these results and found the general need of the group. The data told me what machine to buy. I wan’t trying to tailor a machine to their needs, their needs dictated the selection. No fights were had when the machines arrived because they all knew that I had properly weighed everyone’s opinions.
To the Spreadsheets!
Since I have performed a number of industry and trading activities in Eve, I felt that the same type of analysis would offer some insight to the greater community.
I made a list of negative and positive factors and applied a value to each of them. The total value has a little bit of logic built into it to help produce a more meaningful result.
Total =(-(Sum all the bad things)+(Sum all the good things))
The English equivalent of this would be something along the line of, “Considering all the bad and good things, what is the best thing I should be doing to make money in Eve?”
(Yes the scale is 1-3, but the sheer amplitude of risk and profitability of Patch Speculation made me weight it with a 4. The external factor of CCP changing a loot table or rebalancing something on the fly is an enormous risk when speculating)
Note that these weights are based on my experiences and therefore you would most likely apply different values to each activity. Just like with the difficult C-level people, getting a larger survey group would help normalize the data and CYA.
k162space 