Moon Minerals and PAX East 2013

Interesting to see moon minerals on one the Odyssey announcement slides at PAX East 2013. I hope that a serious look at industry balancing is going to take place now that the general population seems pacified by the content in the Crucible, Inferno, and Retribution expansions.

The icons shown are for R64 moons, which have concentrations skewed towards galactic quadrants as shown by data analysis. I can only imagine what they have planned as they have stating their intention is to remove passive static resource fountains such as the current moon mining system.

Q9m5XYOh


Cartel on Neodymium and Technetium

Cross Reference

With two major collations forming cartels to control the flow of raw moon materials, I wanted to take my database of moon minerals and cross reference that with sovereignty data to see just how much control each cartel holds on each respective moon type.

Consider these numbers a back-of-the-envelope calculation.

Organizational Review

OTEC: Organization of Technetium Exporting Corporations operated by the CFC.

theMittani_status
NOTEC: Neodymium Organized Trading and Exporting Cartel operated by the HBC.

montolioEve_status

The Numbers

I’m showing that 22.7% of all Neodymium moons are under TEST’s direct control, meaning that the moons are in HBC space. If we expand the coverage to the CFC and their allies, this group has 50.7% of all the moons.

The OTEC grip on Technetium is much stronger, with 81.1% of the moons under CFC and ally control.

Geographically Neodymium is far more dispersed with moons covering 36 different regions. Technetium is mainly concentrated in the North and only spans 23 regions.

tl;dr Charts

CFC’s control over Technetium is much stronger than HBC’s over Neodymium.

technetium_coverage neodymium_coverage


Nullsec Trade Hub Profiteering

Overview

The best way that I have found to make money for the lest amount of effort is stocking nullsec hubs. Forget mining, mission running, invention, or any type of item or ship production. If you spend time doing market research, planing your logistics, reducing your risk, and monitor sales you can make far much more than any other type of activity in Eve.

What follows is a guide for stating up your own operation to stock the warchests of eager PVP pilots (at a profit of course).

I’m using three years of trade and logistics experience to help me outline the operation. Your style may differ, but here is the outlay that has worked for me time and time again despite political change.

If you can parse information in the form of Dotlan map statistics, notice price disparity between two locations, have a basic understanding of jump mechanics, learn to avoid common ganking techniques, and maintain a basic level of proficiency in Nullsec politics you can easily break into this style of gameplay.

tl;dr

Buy low in Jita, move things to nullsec, and sell for a profit. To grow bigger take the profits generated and reinvest in your operation to increase its product scope and logistical power.

Disclaimer

In order to properly reach several places and reduce the amount of midpoint jumps, you will need Jump Drive Calibration V. If you don’t have this yet, go train it as it is one of the most valuable skills for jump capable pilots.

A trade alt should have polished skills to reduce taxes and increase capacity, Accounting and Broker Relations to V and then work on increasing the number by getting Tycoon IV.

Start-up capital may vary. I started my operation with 2 B ISK and have grown from there so tailor the scope of the operation to your level.

Objectives

  1. Always look to reduce risk. This extends from not putting too much ISK into the operation in case it fails, not getting a hauling ship ganked, keeping assets under your control, or even not telling people about your timetable and route for logistics.
  2. Because time is money you want to reduce time sinks. The end goal for this operation is to spend as little time as possible managing it and more time doing other activities. For me that meant more market research and blogging, but for the majority of people I imagine funding endless PVP activity is the goal.
  3. Improve sales by using a program to produce reporting and business intelligence out of your data. EVE HQ, Eve Mentat, or EMMA are all good solutions, but I spent a lot of time flexing my PHP muscle to build my own wallet manager. Goonswarm has built their own import tool called Goonmetrics for people that lack the technical expertise of setting up databases and operating code.

Station Selection

Finding a suitable hub depends on many factors including traffic, location, and the ease of logistics getting into the destination system.

  1. To maximize your ISK velocity, find a place with a lot of traffic. Use the filters on Dotlan and the in-game map to discover numbers for the number of pilots docked and  jumps per 24 hours. Major nullsec hubs will standout on the filter with thousands of jumps per day.
  2. Find an Alliance and location that is politically stable. When assets are moved into a conquerable station, you run the risk of loosing access to that station. If this happens, you will need to keep your trade alt docked and either slowly sell off your items or firesale them to quickly liquidate. Do keep in mind that without notice major shift in power can occur; look up the history of Band of Brothers or GoonSwarm to discover how powerful the click of a mouse button can be.
  3. Consider the logistical hurdles to getting to the destination station. More midpoints means more time spent doing logistics and the lack of midpoint stations can mean the use of alternative jumping methods as outlined in the Jump Technique #2 section.
  4. Check cynojammer status for your destination and midpoint systems. Some alliances will jam their system to reduce the likely hood of enemy capitals entering. Others alliances won’t care and have found joy in the opportunity of a large-scale capital engagement in their home system (ie Titan battle of August 15 in K-6K16).
  5. Alliances have many CTAs so get on Jabber, look at forum posts, or talk to PVP people about where they are staging. You want to stock where things are blowing up. Note: stocking a staging station for a campaign is very risky and I would not recommend this type of stocking for people that lack heavy logistics to move goods out at a moments notice due to the sometimes fickle nature of alliance leadership decisions and campaign politics.

Hub Ranking

Using a number of tools, you can find and target the best Nullsec trade hub. Element43 has a market filter that displays active orders per station.

If you have basic knowledge of Nullsec politics, the following systems will standout immediately: VFK-IV, K-8SQS, K-6K16, HIX4-H, and 6VDT-H. These are home systems for many of the major alliances.

Character Placement

The more cyno alts the better. Moving characters around will cost time and slow you down. In my operation I have 5 cyno capable alts around the galaxy that shift depend on where I am currently operating.

A trade alt will remain pertinently docked in the Nullsec destination system and only exit station to light the occasional cyno.

I have a character in Jita that holds ISK and does all of the purchasing. This helps isolate all the purchases to one character to keep my bookkeeping tidy.

Logistics Overview

The goal of  the operation is to move items from a Highsec trade hub, to a Highsec station system next to a Lowsec station system, and then into Nullsec by means of either zero or many midpoints.

2012-11-30_heavy_logistics_example

This illustration shows two legs on the operation. The Highsec and Lowsec activity can be handled by a NPC character while the Midpoint and Nullsec end is dedicated to your Alliance character.

I use Jump Freighters in this example, but based on your capital the number and types of ships, each setup will vary. When I started my operation I used standard Industrial ships to get around Highsec, a Blockade Runner to get into Lowsec, and a Carrier to perform the cyno operations into the destination system.

Logistics Stage 1: Product Selection

There are many ways to find profitable items and I’ve already published some of the things that are very volatile in nullsec in this post.

Logistics Stage 2: Getting out of Jita

A proper Jita insta-undock bookmark is a valuable things. Using this will reduce a large amount of your risk as it will place you off of the Jita undock grid within seconds.

Logistics Stage 3: Getting Across Highsec

There are many options for transporting across Highsec that include doing it yourself or outsourcing with services such as Red Frog Freight. The volume, time, available capital, and risk will dictate what method to use.

If you are just beginning your operation, you will have to be frugal and move items with a Industrial. Later you can move on to Blockade Runners (Crane, Prorator, Viator or Prowler) since their cargo area is unscannable as of the Retribution patch.

Though scannable, an Orca has a large tank and can be used to transport larger amounts of goods than Blockade Runners. Freighters do have a large amount of capacity, but they are often targets for ganking activity. If money is no object, choose to use a NPC Jump Freighter to move items as they offer a larger amount of HPs and align faster than normal Freighters.

Logistics Stage 4: Getting from Highsec to Lowsec

This move can be done with standard Industrials, Blockade Runners, Orcas, Freighters or Jump Freighters. The riskier methods involve scouting the gate on the Lowsec end and moving goods only when clear.

The fastest m3 per time method is to have your goods staged in Highsec in the adjacent system, light a cyno on the Lowsec station, jump to Lowsec, dock, unload, undock, align to the Highsec gate, and enter warp when you reach velocity returning to the Highsec system to begin the cycle again.

Note that I stated to align and not Warp To as a method for killing Jump Freighters is to bump or web reducing the maximum speed below the current speed, effectively locking you in the Warp operation. Read up on the ‘Vindicator Triple Web’ exploit if want to know more about this exploit. If you don’t issue the Warp To command and are aligning, at any sign of trouble you can dock.

Logistics Stage 5: Getting Across Lowsec

Use the Station to Station technique outlined later.

Logistics Stage 6: Getting Across Nullsec

Use the Station to Station technique outlined later.

Logistics Stage 7: Destination System

Getting into the destination system is the last leg in the journey and the technique used will depend on the Alliance’s use of a Cynosural System Jammer or  Cynosural Generator Array  POS module.

The D2-HOS system in Pure Blind was FA’s capital system and jammed. The best route in was jumping into a adjacent system and scouting the gate. Higher risk, but at the time it was worth it.

Before Widly Innapropirate were absorbed into GoonSwarm, they homed in G8AD in Cloud Ring.  They had an active beacon. If you scouted the system and had Carrier backup, your risk was reduced.

The best method is to find a major Nullsec hub that lacks a jammer so your trade alt can undock, light a cyno within docking range, and let your ship land right within docking range. This technique reduces your risk to almost nothing if done properly.

Jump Technique 1: Station to Station Jumps

The most efficient, low risk method of moving items between Lowsec <-> Lowsec, Lowsec <-> Nullsec, or Nullsec <-> Nullsec system is to have two characters in two systems light cynos within docking range of each respective station.

The Jump Freighter will jump in, dock, unload, undock, and jump back to the original cyno. If you are quick, you can get 5-6 jump cycles under one cyno timer. Done efficiently this method can move around 1,750,000 m3 per cyno depending on your Freighter skill level and racial Jump Freighter, both which affect the ship’s cargo capacity.

Jump Technique 2: POS Container Jumping

If you absolutely cannot get a station system as one of your midpoints, you can use a riskier method using an anchored container and a POS with a Cynosural Generator Array module. The goal with this method is to jump in and warp to 100 km to the anchored container, landing you inside the POS shields.

warp_point1

If done correctly, you will only be vulnerable for a few seconds as your ship aligns and warps withing the POS shields. I do, however, recommend that you only jump into the system when it is empty with a character in the system to monitor activity. There is still a chance of an enemy logging off next to the Cynosural Generator Array and logging back in as they see you leave the originating system, but it is low.

When I would perform this type of operation I had a Carrier on standby within jump range of the POS system. If anything went not according to plan, the Carrier came into system to serve as support while the POS guns fended off the attacker or Alliance reinforcements arrived.

Jump Technique 3: Right Out of Jita

A quick, lowrisk method for moving billions out of Jita involves bypassing Highsec altogether as a large number of systems are jump accessible right out of the Jita undock as seen here.

Using this technique, you can put a large amount of ISK into your NPC Jump Freighter and bypass the deadly gank systems of Uedama and Niarja.

Concrete Examples

Here are two route examples of when I would stock for the former Northern Coalition. The three Lowsec systems of Chardalane, Maut, and Oulley served as three options for extending myself into Nullsec as they were each Lowsec station systems with a connection to contiguous Highsec. If either system was busy with cyno popping pirates, I would switch to one of the other two options.

Operation Details

  1. Buy things in Jita and place 5-10 B in a Courier Wrapped Freighter Container on my Jita purchasing character.
  2. Undock with a NPC freighter character and move to Adacyne, the Highsec system next to Chardalane.
  3. Use a NPC Jump Freighter to move goods from Adacyne into Chardalane Lowsec.
  4. Use a Alliance Jump Freighter to jump into D2-HOS or G8AD-C.
  5. Hand off goods to my Trade alt in the station and price items for sale.

2012.02.09.00.32.06

2011.11.26.01.34.202011.11.26.01.34.52

Route for D2-HOS in Pure Blind for Fidelas Constans before they moved to Branch.

jita_to_d2

Here is the route for G8AD-C in Cloud Ring for Wildly Inappropriate before they were absorbed into Goonswarm Federation.

jita_to_g8

Results 

If you look back at any of my monthly reports, you can review the success of my efforts. My recommendations for people that want to get involved with Nullsec trade and production is to always keep one eye on Nullsec politics. Take notice of who is attacking, defending, advancing, and maintaining homogeneity; the key to your success is situational awareness.


Optimal Heavy Industry Production Cycle

Overview

Our Heavy Industry branch has been increasing in capacity over the past three months and we’ve reached a point where we now have an established, balanced cycle.

This balance comes from many factors including the amount of compression or ship BPOs we own, ISK velocity coming in from purchases or sales, and time needed to haul or compress materials. Too much or too little of either factor and our porridge is no longer ‘just right’.

Production Cycle

The optimal cycle we have found settles is around 18 days. With every cycle we are consuming around 12-13 B ISK worth of materials in order to keep our BPOs busy.

2013-02-13_minerals

With the aid of the DRK Industrial Tracker, we can easily see how long it takes to compress, build component parts, and finally build the capital hulls in a easy to read visual timeline. If you produce items and need a solution for tracking materials, quotes, projects, and sales I highly recommend this product.

project_view_1691

Results

As the amount of time put into daily trading slowed down towards the 2012 holiday season, I put the direction of the Heavy Industry branch in the hands of Raath (@staticmapper), my partner. The operation started to get its legs in December and the results are apparent.

2013-02-05_profit_20_day_moving_average


Visualization of Moon Mineral Concentrations

Overview

In a previous post, I detailed the concentration of Technetium and Cobalt moon locations because they are of particular political interest due to their distribution and the recent rework of the Alchemy reaction for Platinum Technite.

Now I wanted to use my entire dataset to plot out all moon minerals to see if there was any pattern or promise of future monopolistic cartels due to the geographical distribution of the moon minerals.

Data

My dataset contains information on 32,162 moons with a lack of data for Evaporite Deposits; I don’t consider this alarming to my analysis as it is a very common moon mineral.

Since my master dataset was pieced together from a few independent sources, I am not surprised by the inaccuracies or missing data points. As I have stated before, sanitized moon scanning data is usually a closely guarded piece of information by large Alliances and Industrial corporations as a large amount of time and energy has been spent gathering the data.

moon_coverage

The raw numbers show that I have very poor coverage in many regions, but we need to consider that not every moon contains a mineral.  If I knew the density of moon minerals (how many received minerals versus not in the seeding process), I could get a better feeling of my coverage levels. For now just consider the Green regions having a strong coverage and the Red regions showing poor coverage; ignore the coverage percentage values.

Despite the alarming Red portions that indicate major holes in my dataset, we can see interesting visual results from the initial galaxy seeding process. These seeding trends can help us explain the prices of certain minerals given their location, political atmosphere around specific areas, and weight necessity in the Tech2 production chain. *cough* Technetium *cough*.

moon_summary

Rarity 2

The low value of these types of minerals is due to the sheer amount and distribution of each type. These common minerals are contained in almost every region.

atmospheric_gases hydrocarbons

silicates

Rarity 8

With these types, we can see a definite skew in the regional location of each type. There are major pockets with a small scattering around the universe.

cobalt scandium

titanium tungsten

Rarity 16

With the Rarity 16 minerals, there seems to be an even spread across the universe with no major points of concentration.

cadmium chromium

platinum vanadium

Rarity 32

With these moons it seems like each type is dominant in a specific quadrant of the universe. Ceasium in the West, Hafnium in the South, Mercury also in the South, and Technetium having the majority of its concentration located in the North.

ceasium hafnium

mercury technetium

Rarity 64

The rarity of these moons is shown with the lack of points on the scatter plot. We can see that they are spread around the Universe, but the lack of quantity keeps each type rare.

dysprosium neodymium

promethium thulium