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Tech 2 BPO Prices Post Crius

tl;dr Sale prices for Tech 2 BPOs are down an average of 47% after the Crius release.

Overview

Over the past few years I have been watching prices for publicly traded Tech 2 BPOs and attempting to record the values to the best of my ability.

Some sales completed non-publicly, some were vastly inflated, and some never sold. There is most certainly a lot of inaccuracy in the datapoints given the speculative nature of the Tech 2 BPO market, yet they still serve as guiding value to help us value the BPO.

The Post Crius Marketplace

The volume of posts in the official Sell Orders section of the forums are down, sellers are getting trolled, and people are re-running numbers to reprice the value of the BPOs trying to justify a much lower cost. I’ve seen a lot of CCP Dev intervention to clean up threads and keep people on topic. Overall the market is rather anemic.

Numbers

2014-11-14_tech_2_bpo_public_sale_prices

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6 Days of Manufacturing Index Changes

The color shift indicates that manufacturing is spreading out and the landscape is starting to adjust to new levels.  67 systems have gone up more than 1% and 21 are down more than 1%.

Here’s a snapshot of the top 50 systems.

2014-07-29_manufacturing_index_trends


Initial Manufacturing Index Changes

Looking at a 24 hour range in the manufacturing index data, it looks like people have started to move out of major manufacturing centers as the top 50 list has showing a drop across the board.

2014-07-24_top_50_system_changes

Here is a look at the biggest changes in the one day period. There has been a large amount of increase in many differing systems also indicating that manufacturing is spreading out.

2014-07-24_biggest_system_changes


Initial Ranking of Top Manufacturing Regions

With manufacturing data now being exposed over the new CREST API at http://public-crest.eveonline.com/, I spend some time working with the data to see how the initial layout of the land is on the first day of the new Crius expansion.

As expected the top ten regions for manufacturing are in Highsec with the outlaying regions of nullsec barely producing anything at the moment. I’ll be monitoring changes to if things shakeup.

2014-07-23_manufacturing_by_region_v3

Focusing on the top 40 systems shows that the majority are in The Forge, Lonetrek, and The Citadel.

2014-07-23_manufacturing_by_system_v2