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Gecko Speculation Results

After months of waiting and watching, I finally cashed out on the pile of Gecko heavy drones.

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I bought 326 at an average price of 50.05 M ISK. I cashed out after 219 days for a net profit of 8.83 B. The reason that I exited the market on this item was because of how the daily profit per days invested chart was trending. I missed the bubble on the market and had to settle for a average of 40.51 M ISK/day invested. The time to sell would have been before Eve Vegas.

 

2015-12-14_gecko_avg_daily_profit

Producing capitals still averaged out to more money on average at 50.27 M ISK/day; details on that project can be found here.

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Gecko Volatility Post Eve Vegas

During the Capital Ship session at Eve Vegas we learned that Capital ships will no longer be able to use standard drones. This announcement sent the Gecko market into a period of high volatility given the speculative rarity of the item. Looking at the charts, it seems that the volume and return amounts are trending towards less volatility and a price around 90M.

The blue bars represent numbers that are based on finalized price data while the yellow bars represent an estimated value based on current trends.

2015-10-27_gecko_daily_volume

2015-10-27_gecko_daily_return

If you have a stockpile, I would not sell at the moment. Hold on to that investment.